Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.004477 0.004717 0.004964 0.005237 0.005530 0.005836 0.006181
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004153 0.004521 0.004916 0.005375 0.005892 0.006462 0.007139
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003837 0.004267 0.004742 0.005310 0.005973 0.006729 0.007664
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003606 0.004077 0.004610 0.005262 0.006046 0.006966 0.008141
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003404 0.003901 0.004475 0.005192 0.006073 0.007135 0.008529
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003311 0.003845 0.004471 0.005271 0.006276 0.007518 0.009197
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003191 0.003746 0.004409 0.005269 0.006373 0.007766 0.009699
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003066 0.003635 0.004323 0.005230 0.006413 0.007938 0.010104
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002929 0.003501 0.004200 0.005135 0.006374 0.007998 0.010353
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002812 0.003387 0.004099 0.005060 0.006354 0.008079 0.010631
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002740 0.003326 0.004060 0.005065 0.006439 0.008302 0.011119
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002596 0.003169 0.003891 0.004888 0.006265 0.008156 0.011059
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002540 0.003124 0.003868 0.004908 0.006367 0.008406 0.011603
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002529 0.003137 0.003921 0.005034 0.006622 0.008888 0.012533
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002447 0.003054 0.003844 0.004975 0.006609 0.008974 0.012852
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002377 0.002984 0.003780 0.004932 0.006615 0.009088 0.013218
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002304 0.002907 0.003703 0.004867 0.006586 0.009145 0.013492
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002283 0.002900 0.003723 0.004939 0.006763 0.009526 0.014328
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002237 0.002858 0.003693 0.004938 0.006827 0.009732 0.014880
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002183 0.002802 0.003640 0.004902 0.006835 0.009849 0.015281
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002115 0.002725 0.003556 0.004815 0.006761 0.009827 0.015434
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002056 0.002659 0.003485 0.004746 0.006713 0.009844 0.015656
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002022 0.002628 0.003464 0.004751 0.006780 0.010054 0.016245